GOLD CUP TRENDS:
- No more than three chase runs this season
- Stick with Grade 1 chase winners
- Eight of past 10 won last time out
- Look north of 164 in official ratings
- A win over 3m or more is important
AL BOUM PHOTO can repeat last year’s win in the Gold Cup.
Winning your last race has been an important factor for Gold Cup heroes with eight of the past ten managing it. That quickly rules out Bristol De Mai, Elegant Escape, Kemboy, Lostintranslation, Monalee, Presenting Percy and Real Steel.
The next pointer to look for is past Grade 1 chase form. That has proven beyond Chris’s Dream and well fancied Santini has not managed that feat either.
He does come close with a win over hurdles at the highest level and a second in the RSA at last year’s meeting. But in a hot contest that could be his undoing.
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A previous win at Cheltenham has been another positive factor. Of the three still standing, Clan Des Obeaux misses comes up short on that score. He was fifth in this 12 months ago and sixth in the Triumph Hurdle as a youngster. There are a couple of Prestbury Park seconds on his CV but no wins.
So we have a battle between AL BOUM PHOTO and Delta Work. The latter won the Pertemps Final over hurdles and was third in the RSA so has Festival form.
But the defending champion ticks all the boxes and can become the first back-to-back winner since Best Mate at the start of the century.
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